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Red130
880844.2
565353.7
978729.6
Blue74
966016.9
906731.8
711121.5
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1317405010015020013074

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+13Auto
+54Teleop
+56Endgame
+56Fouls
AutonomousRed +13
0Leave6
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points7
26Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +41
18Coral scored#10
64Coral points35
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#3
12Processor points0
12Net points12
24Algae points12
88Total teleop47
Reef
10L4#4
4L3#4
4L2#2
5L1 · trough#1
28Game pieces#14
BargeRed +2
16Cage & park14
16Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +56
0Foul points0
130Total score74

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
53.70.8
49.850.6
Auto11.1
Teleop37.7
End4.9
red by 21.9
9067
#31
31.80.1
32.932.8
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Second
44.20.8
40.541.3
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End7.1
red by 22.7
7111
#36
21.50.1
17.417.3
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End1.0
Third
9787
#23
29.61.3
21.723.0
Auto6.5
Teleop19.4
End3.7
red by 12.7
9660
#29
16.90.1
19.919.7
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsEarned60%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
19%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
81%Barge oddsEarned22%Barge oddsEarned