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Red127
1055016.8
648923.8
310237.8
Blue144
597116.5
1021728.6
191245.8
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8893050150200127144

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+31
Endgame+19
Fouls+17
AutonomousBlue +3
9Leave6
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points6
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +28
21Coral scored#23
74Coral points82
1Processor algae#3
5Net algae#7
6Processor points18
20Net points28
26Algae points46
100Total teleop128
Reef
9L4#9
6L3#7
3L2#4
3L1 · trough#4
27Game pieces#34
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +17
2Foul points0
127Total score144

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3102
#14
37.81.7
34.636.3
Auto5.4
Teleop27.9
End4.5
blue by 8.0
1912
#16
45.82.7
39.742.3
Auto8.4
Teleop34.5
End2.8
Second
6489
#43
23.82.8
24.026.8
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End5.2
blue by 4.8
28.64.5
20.525.0
Auto4.9
Teleop20.0
End3.7
Third
16.82.8
13.516.3
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.8
red by 0.3
5971
#41
16.54.5
15.720.1
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
64%Barge oddsEarned33%Barge oddsMissed