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Red80
96104.1
215221.9
971739.7
Blue117
709423.9
94358.7
299256.4
23%Model gave it77%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions689805015080117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+23
Endgame+25
Fouls+37
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
3Coral scored#3
13Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +20
14Coral scored#19
51Coral points67
1Processor algae#1
2Net algae#3
6Processor points6
8Net points12
14Algae points18
65Total teleop85
Reef
6L4#6
5L3#6
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#4
20Game pieces#26
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +37
0Foul points12
80Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9717
#17
39.70.2
39.639.4
Auto7.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
blue by 16.7
2992
#10
56.40.3
51.251.5
Auto11.6
Teleop42.6
End2.2
Second
2152
#52
21.90.2
18.918.7
Auto2.7
Teleop16.5
End2.6
blue by 2.1
7094
#22
23.90.3
21.721.9
Auto3.6
Teleop17.0
End3.3
Third
9610
#53
4.10.2
4.54.3
Auto0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.3
blue by 4.7
9435
#51
8.70.3
8.48.7
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
16%Auto oddsMissed65%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed24%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed23%Barge oddsMissed