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Red24
976111.4
303926.1
1065516.4
Blue106
142130.8
501336.5
1049726.7
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions649905015024106

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+6
Teleop+68
Endgame+76
Fouls+82
AutonomousBlue +6
6Leave9
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +62
2Coral scored#16
8Coral points56
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
12Total teleop74
Reef
1L4#6
1L3#5
0L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#21
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +82
0Foul points6
24Total score106

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#47
26.12.3
23.921.6
Auto6.3
Teleop16.4
End3.4
blue by 10.4
5013
#18
36.51.2
32.633.8
Auto6.1
Teleop29.3
End1.1
Second
16.43.8
19.615.9
Auto2.5
Teleop11.6
End2.2
blue by 14.5
30.81.2
26.227.4
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End5.5
Third
9761
#49
11.43.8
14.510.7
Auto1.2
Teleop9.7
End0.5
blue by 15.3
26.72.1
22.724.8
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End1.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
6%Auto oddsMissed48%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed10%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed33%Barge oddsEarned