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Red40
597116.5
596511.6
648923.8
Blue147
880844.2
45654.2
930917.9
13%Model gave it87%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6912905010015020025040147

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+73
Endgame+95
Fouls+107
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
2Coral scored#2
9Coral points12
9Total auto12
TeleoperatedBlue +70
5Coral scored#20
17Coral points71
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#5
6Processor points6
4Net points20
10Algae points26
27Total teleop97
Reef
2L4#7
2L3#7
2L2#4
1L1 · trough#4
9Game pieces#28
BargeBlue +22
4Cage & park26
4Total endgame26
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +107
0Foul points12
40Total score147

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6489
#43
23.83.3
26.823.4
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End5.2
blue by 30.5
456
#5
54.21.2
52.553.8
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
Second
5971
#41
16.53.3
20.116.8
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.6
blue by 27.7
44.21.2
41.342.5
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End7.1
Third
5965
#44
11.63.3
16.112.8
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
blue by 6.3
9309
#28
17.91.2
14.716.0
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
45%Auto oddsMissed90%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed21%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed56%Barge oddsEarned