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Red86
1055016.8
96104.1
203658.6
Blue36
36422.5
966016.9
940518.2
67%Model gave it33%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions90690501001502008636

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
+42Teleop
+42Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
7Coral points13
13Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +45
13Coral scored#2
45Coral points6
1Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
6Processor points0
0Net points0
6Algae points0
51Total teleop6
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#2
3L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
15Game pieces#5
Bargelevel
14Cage & park14
14Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
8Foul points0
86Total score36

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
58.60.1
54.054.1
Auto12.4
Teleop37.4
End8.8
red by 36.1
364
#24
22.51.9
23.121.2
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End5.5
Second
16.80.1
16.316.4
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.8
blue by 1.4
9405
#30
18.21.9
18.716.8
Auto3.7
Teleop10.7
End3.7
Third
9610
#53
4.10.1
4.34.3
Auto0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.3
blue by 12.8
9660
#29
16.93.0
19.716.8
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End4.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsEarned54%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
75%Barge oddsEarned56%Barge oddsEarned