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Red72
1650.6
162219.8
728812.0
Blue85
976111.4
971739.7
970810.2
77%Model gave it23%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99650501502007285

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+14Auto
Teleop+3
+9Endgame
Fouls+13
AutonomousRed +14
9Leave3
3Coral scored#1
14Coral points6
23Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +17
6Coral scored#11
23Coral points40
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
33Total teleop50
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#3
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
11Game pieces#14
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +13
0Foul points22
72Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
50.60.9
49.048.1
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
red by 10.9
9717
#17
39.70.0
39.439.4
Auto7.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
Second
1622
#35
19.80.9
20.419.5
Auto5.5
Teleop11.1
End3.3
red by 8.4
9761
#49
11.40.0
10.710.7
Auto1.2
Teleop9.7
End0.5
Third
7288
#12
12.01.5
14.112.6
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End1.2
red by 1.9
9708
#55
10.20.0
10.210.1
Auto1.1
Teleop8.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
62%Auto oddsEarned12%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed7%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed