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Red100
346831.8
1650.6
1055016.8
Blue90
3425.5
880844.2
181811.5
74%Model gave it26%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions110865010015020010090

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+21Auto
+28Teleop
+16Endgame
+10Fouls
AutonomousRed +21
0Leave9
6Coral scored#0
30Coral points0
30Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +7
13Coral scored#10
48Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
3Net algae#3
6Processor points12
12Net points12
18Algae points24
66Total teleop59
Reef
7L4#4
6L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +10
0Foul points6
100Total score90

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
16
#4
50.60.3
48.148.4
Auto13.0
Teleop33.2
End4.4
red by 6.4
44.20.4
42.542.9
Auto7.6
Teleop29.5
End7.1
Second
3468
#11
31.80.3
31.231.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End4.1
red by 6.3
34
#19
25.50.4
24.725.1
Auto4.5
Teleop14.4
End6.6
Third
16.80.4
16.416.8
Auto3.5
Teleop10.5
End2.8
red by 5.3
1818
#50
11.50.6
10.911.5
Auto2.2
Teleop7.4
End1.9
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
67%Barge oddsMissed85%Barge oddsEarned