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Red90
45654.2
297318.2
966016.9
Blue104
728812.0
971739.7
310237.8
46%Model gave it54%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions102105608012014090104

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+6
+6Endgame
Fouls+14
AutonomousRed +3
0Leave6
3Coral scored#1
16Coral points7
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +9
8Coral scored#14
30Coral points49
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#3
12Processor points6
16Net points12
28Algae points18
58Total teleop67
Reef
6L4#5
2L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#2
17Game pieces#19
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +14
0Foul points20
90Total score104

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
456
#5
54.20.1
53.853.8
Auto6.7
Teleop40.2
End7.3
red by 14.5
9717
#17
39.70.4
39.439.0
Auto7.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
Second
2973
#25
18.20.1
18.118.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End0.9
blue by 19.6
3102
#14
37.80.4
37.837.4
Auto5.4
Teleop27.9
End4.5
Third
9660
#29
16.90.1
16.816.9
Auto3.5
Teleop9.1
End4.3
red by 4.8
7288
#12
12.00.6
12.612.0
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned65%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
43%Barge oddsEarned82%Barge oddsMissed