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Red110
648923.8
360615.7
408739.8
Blue58
596511.6
222117.7
1065516.4
88%Model gave it12%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions10052015020011058

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+6Auto
+12Teleop
+20Endgame
+52Fouls
AutonomousRed +6
0Leave6
2Coral scored#0
12Coral points0
12Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#6
28Coral points22
0Processor algae#0
2Net algae#2
0Processor points0
8Net points8
8Algae points8
36Total teleop30
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#2
2L2#1
2L1 · trough#1
12Game pieces#8
BargeRed +8
14Cage & park6
14Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +52
48Foul points16
110Total score58

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.81.8
40.939.1
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End8.7
red by 22.1
2221
#34
17.70.8
18.517.7
Auto3.9
Teleop10.6
End3.2
Second
6489
#43
23.82.6
23.420.9
Auto3.3
Teleop15.2
End5.2
red by 7.4
16.41.2
17.516.4
Auto2.5
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Third
3606
#37
15.72.6
18.215.7
Auto1.7
Teleop12.6
End1.4
red by 4.1
5965
#44
11.61.2
12.811.6
Auto3.6
Teleop6.6
End1.4
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
37%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsEarned25%Barge oddsMissed