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Red97
303926.1
915324.2
586319.2
Blue35
94358.7
597116.5
96104.1
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7935020601001201401609735

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+17Auto
+50Teleop
+54Endgame
+62Fouls
AutonomousRed +17
6Leave0
3Coral scored#1
17Coral points6
23Total auto6
TeleoperatedRed +33
11Coral scored#4
40Coral points15
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#3
12Processor points0
8Net points12
20Algae points12
60Total teleop27
Reef
5L4#1
4L3#2
2L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
18Game pieces#8
BargeRed +4
6Cage & park2
6Total endgame2
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +62
8Foul points0
97Total score35

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
3039
#47
26.11.1
21.622.8
Auto6.3
Teleop16.4
End3.4
red by 9.7
5971
#41
16.50.4
16.816.5
Auto2.7
Teleop12.1
End1.6
Second
9153
#33
24.21.1
23.024.2
Auto6.0
Teleop17.7
End0.5
red by 15.4
9435
#51
8.70.3
8.78.5
Auto3.0
Teleop4.8
End0.9
Third
5863
#39
19.21.1
15.917.1
Auto5.1
Teleop12.2
End1.8
red by 15.2
9610
#53
4.10.3
4.34.1
Auto0.0
Teleop3.8
End0.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
49%Auto oddsEarned13%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed10%Barge oddsMissed