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Red50
1021728.6
728812.0
36422.5
Blue43
930917.9
1065516.4
1049726.7
52%Model gave it48%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions705102004006008001,0005043

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+3
+7Endgame
+7Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points3
12Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +6
4Coral scored#6
14Coral points20
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
24Total teleop30
Reef
2L4#3
1L3#2
1L2#1
1L1 · trough#1
7Game pieces#9
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +7
0Foul points0
50Total score43

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.612.8
28.615.7
Auto4.9
Teleop20.0
End3.7
red by 1.9
26.710.2
26.716.5
Auto2.5
Teleop22.8
End1.3
Second
364
#24
22.51.5
26.625.1
Auto6.1
Teleop10.8
End5.5
red by 4.6
9309
#28
17.91.0
11.410.4
Auto3.8
Teleop11.5
End2.6
Third
7288
#12
12.02.1
15.313.2
Auto2.3
Teleop8.5
End1.2
blue by 4.3
16.40.1
16.416.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.6
End2.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
48%Auto oddsEarned46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsEarned17%Barge oddsMissed