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Red114
711121.5
408739.8
971739.7
Blue129
352631.4
906731.8
346831.8
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1081046080120140160180114129

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+5
Teleop+3
Endgame+15
Fouls+15
AutonomousBlue +5
9Leave3
2Coral scored#4
9Coral points20
18Total auto23
TeleoperatedRed +2
17Coral scored#16
60Coral points58
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#4
6Processor points6
16Net points16
22Algae points22
82Total teleop80
Reef
7L4#5
6L3#6
3L2#6
3L1 · trough#3
24Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
14Cage & park26
14Total endgame26
Penalties & totalBlue +15
0Foul points0
114Total score129

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
39.80.3
39.139.5
Auto7.4
Teleop23.7
End8.7
red by 8.0
3468
#11
31.80.8
31.732.5
Auto6.2
Teleop21.5
End4.1
Second
9717
#17
39.70.3
39.039.4
Auto7.5
Teleop25.9
End6.3
red by 7.9
9067
#31
31.80.8
31.732.5
Auto6.6
Teleop22.4
End2.9
Third
7111
#36
21.50.3
20.821.1
Auto5.2
Teleop15.3
End1.0
blue by 9.9
31.40.8
31.332.1
Auto5.1
Teleop22.4
End4.0