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Red168
299248.1
96995.7
804486.9
Blue117
999428.9
945617.2
408743.6
91%Model gave it9%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16873050100150200250300168117

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+1Auto
+71Teleop
+81Endgame
+51Fouls
AutonomousRed +1
3Leave6
5Coral scored#5
27Coral points23
30Total auto29
TeleoperatedRed +70
26Coral scored#12
94Coral points44
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
18Processor points6
12Net points4
30Algae points10
124Total teleop54
Reef
12L4#4
7L3#6
7L2#5
5L1 · trough#2
37Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +51
0Foul points30
168Total score117

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.90.7
85.386.0
Auto17.4
Teleop58.5
End10.9
red by 43.3
43.60.0
42.842.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.0
End9.3
Second
48.10.7
46.647.3
Auto10.9
Teleop34.4
End2.9
red by 19.3
28.90.0
27.627.6
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
Third
9699
#19
5.71.1
3.34.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
blue by 11.5
9456
#17
17.20.0
16.416.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.5