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Red130
999428.9
945617.2
408743.6
Blue91
36423.9
832424.4
191243.4
39%Model gave it61%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions7510405015020025030013091

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+2Auto
+33Teleop
+43Endgame
+39Fouls
AutonomousRed +2
6Leave3
5Coral scored#5
26Coral points27
32Total auto30
TeleoperatedRed +31
16Coral scored#11
56Coral points39
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
84Total teleop53
Reef
9L4#4
4L3#7
5L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
27Game pieces#19
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +39
0Foul points4
130Total score91

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.0
41.742.8
Auto8.3
Teleop26.0
End9.3
red by 0.1
1912
#12
43.40.1
43.543.4
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End1.9
Second
28.91.6
26.027.6
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
red by 4.4
8324
#22
24.40.1
24.524.4
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Third
9456
#17
17.21.0
15.316.4
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.5
blue by 6.7
364
#4
23.90.1
24.023.9
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End5.3