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Red61
36423.9
832424.4
978725.2
Blue86
945617.2
346825.2
999428.9
59%Model gave it41%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions91780501502006186

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+37
Endgame+25
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#4
4Coral points20
13Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +30
6Coral scored#12
20Coral points44
0Processor algae#1
3Net algae#3
0Processor points6
12Net points12
12Algae points18
32Total teleop62
Reef
2L4#5
3L3#5
1L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#20
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points0
61Total score86

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.5
22.921.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End5.0
blue by 3.7
28.91.7
13.114.8
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
Second
8324
#22
24.41.5
31.630.1
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
blue by 0.8
25.21.0
31.832.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Third
364
#4
23.91.5
22.521.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End5.3
red by 6.7
9456
#17
17.21.4
14.215.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed76%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned70%Barge oddsMissed