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Red61
999016.4
408743.6
96995.7
Blue63
999812.2
433631.7
191243.4
35%Model gave it65%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions701000501502002506163

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+20
Endgame+8
Fouls+2
AutonomousBlue +4
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points4
9Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +16
6Coral scored#10
20Coral points36
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
6Processor points6
4Net points4
10Algae points10
30Total teleop46
Reef
3L4#3
1L3#4
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
9Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +2
6Foul points0
61Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.0
39.838.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.0
End9.3
red by 0.1
1912
#12
43.42.1
45.843.7
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End1.9
Second
9990
#13
16.41.6
13.111.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 15.3
4336
#11
31.72.1
30.027.9
Auto5.3
Teleop25.5
End1.0
Third
9699
#19
5.71.6
16.414.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
blue by 6.4
9998
#16
12.23.5
13.19.5
Auto1.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
86%Auto oddsMissed71%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed11%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
74%Barge oddsEarned31%Barge oddsMissed