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Red145
375321.6
978725.2
804486.9
Blue48
96995.7
915322.7
597115.5
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions15944010020025014548

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+79Teleop
+91Endgame
+97Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave0
5Coral scored#3
26Coral points16
26Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +69
20Coral scored#6
73Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
3Net algae#2
12Processor points0
12Net points8
24Algae points8
97Total teleop28
Reef
9L4#4
8L3#3
5L2#1
3L1 · trough#1
30Game pieces#11
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +97
6Foul points0
145Total score48

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.91.0
84.285.2
Auto17.4
Teleop58.5
End10.9
red by 64.2
9153
#10
22.70.0
23.924.0
Auto6.6
Teleop14.9
End1.2
Second
25.21.0
18.619.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End5.0
red by 9.7
5971
#18
15.50.0
14.614.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
3753
#14
21.61.0
21.822.8
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End0.5
red by 15.9
9699
#19
5.70.0
9.49.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
75%Auto oddsEarned27%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
57%Coral oddsEarned5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
57%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed