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Red122
999428.9
408743.6
433631.7
Blue72
410725.1
880847.5
945617.2
70%Model gave it30%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1059140608012014016012272

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+44Teleop
+50Endgame
+50Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
6Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
19Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +34
19Coral scored#13
69Coral points47
1Processor algae#1
4Net algae#1
6Processor points6
16Net points4
22Algae points10
91Total teleop57
Reef
6L4#5
7L3#5
6L2#3
3L1 · trough#1
27Game pieces#16
BargeRed +6
12Cage & park6
12Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +50
0Foul points0
122Total score72

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.62.2
40.142.3
Auto8.3
Teleop26.0
End9.3
blue by 3.9
47.50.7
47.346.6
Auto9.4
Teleop34.6
End3.5
Second
4336
#11
31.72.2
31.133.2
Auto5.3
Teleop25.5
End1.0
red by 6.6
25.10.7
21.420.7
Auto3.3
Teleop19.5
End2.3
Third
28.93.6
18.522.1
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
red by 11.7
9456
#17
17.20.7
14.213.5
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
77%Auto oddsEarned68%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
9%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
87%Barge oddsMissed16%Barge oddsMissed