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Red162
597115.5
36423.9
804486.9
Blue102
191243.4
832424.4
218327.7
85%Model gave it15%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions149101050200162102

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+10Auto
+8Teleop
+30Endgame
+60Fouls
AutonomousRed +10
0Leave9
6Coral scored#2
30Coral points11
30Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +2
15Coral scored#14
54Coral points50
1Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
6Processor points12
16Net points16
22Algae points28
76Total teleop78
Reef
6L4#7
6L3#5
6L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#22
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +60
30Foul points0
162Total score102

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.90.5
85.285.7
Auto17.4
Teleop58.5
End10.9
red by 43.5
1912
#12
43.40.2
43.443.6
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End1.9
Second
364
#4
23.90.5
24.525.0
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End5.3
blue by 3.8
2183
#15
27.70.2
31.131.2
Auto3.9
Teleop19.8
End4.0
Third
5971
#18
15.50.5
14.615.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 8.9
8324
#22
24.40.2
25.225.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
79%Auto oddsEarned57%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
59%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
66%Barge oddsEarned34%Barge oddsMissed