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Red51
99916.8
375321.6
915322.7
Blue85
880847.5
96995.7
346825.2
21%Model gave it79%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5410201502005185

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
Teleop+24
Endgame+28
Fouls+34
AutonomousRed +8
9Leave9
2Coral scored#0
8Coral points0
17Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +32
6Coral scored#11
22Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
1Net algae#3
6Processor points12
4Net points12
10Algae points24
32Total teleop64
Reef
3L4#5
2L3#3
1L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#16
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points6
51Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9153
#10
22.70.3
24.023.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.9
End1.2
blue by 24.8
47.50.4
46.646.2
Auto9.4
Teleop34.6
End3.5
Second
3753
#14
21.60.3
22.822.5
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End0.5
blue by 3.6
25.20.4
28.528.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Third
9991
#21
6.80.5
8.98.4
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End2.1
red by 1.1
9699
#19
5.70.6
9.48.8
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
73%Auto oddsMissed54%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed27%Barge oddsMissed