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Red88
999428.9
299248.1
218327.7
Blue80
408743.6
945617.2
99916.8
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions135640501001502008880

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+8Auto
+14Teleop
+2Endgame
+8Fouls
AutonomousRed +8
0Leave9
4Coral scored#1
20Coral points3
20Total auto12
TeleoperatedRed +6
8Coral scored#11
30Coral points38
2Processor algae#1
4Net algae#2
12Processor points6
16Net points8
28Algae points14
58Total teleop52
Reef
3L4#5
3L3#3
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
18Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +8
6Foul points0
88Total score80

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.12.0
48.746.7
Auto10.9
Teleop34.4
End2.9
red by 4.6
43.60.6
41.742.3
Auto8.3
Teleop26.0
End9.3
Second
28.93.4
26.723.3
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
red by 11.7
9456
#17
17.20.6
13.013.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Third
2183
#15
27.72.0
31.229.2
Auto3.9
Teleop19.8
End4.0
red by 20.9
9991
#21
6.81.0
8.49.4
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
69%Auto oddsMissed41%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
11%Coral oddsMissed2%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
72%Barge oddsEarned51%Barge oddsEarned