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Red53
36423.9
999214.8
346825.2
Blue37
433631.7
375321.6
96995.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions746402040801001205337

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+10
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousBlue +10
3Leave9
1Coral scored#1
3Coral points7
6Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +26
9Coral scored#3
33Coral points11
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
37Total teleop11
Reef
4L4#2
3L3#1
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#0
11Game pieces#4
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
6Foul points6
53Total score37

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.4
28.126.7
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End2.9
blue by 6.5
4336
#11
31.72.2
33.231.0
Auto5.3
Teleop25.5
End1.0
Second
364
#4
23.91.4
25.023.6
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End5.3
red by 2.3
3753
#14
21.62.2
22.520.3
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End0.5
Third
9992
#20
14.82.3
14.412.1
Auto1.5
Teleop12.6
End0.4
red by 9.0
9699
#19
5.73.7
8.85.1
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
65%Auto oddsMissed50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
40%Barge oddsEarned7%Barge oddsMissed