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Red85
999214.8
999428.9
999016.4
Blue135
96995.7
804486.9
410725.1
2%Model gave it98%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions46147010020025085135

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+32
Endgame+44
Fouls+50
AutonomousBlue +3
6Leave3
3Coral scored#4
14Coral points20
20Total auto23
TeleoperatedBlue +29
11Coral scored#15
41Coral points54
1Processor algae#3
2Net algae#3
6Processor points18
8Net points12
14Algae points30
55Total teleop84
Reef
4L4#8
6L3#4
2L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
17Game pieces#25
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +50
6Foul points12
85Total score135

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.92.6
23.325.9
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
blue by 58.0
86.90.2
86.586.6
Auto17.4
Teleop58.5
End10.9
Second
9990
#13
16.42.6
13.816.4
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 8.6
25.10.2
23.523.7
Auto3.3
Teleop19.5
End2.3
Third
9992
#20
14.82.6
12.114.8
Auto1.5
Teleop12.6
End0.4
red by 9.0
9699
#19
5.70.3
5.15.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
66%Auto oddsMissed73%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
2%Coral oddsMissed48%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
76%Barge oddsMissed49%Barge oddsEarned