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Red62
346825.2
218327.7
99916.8
Blue110
978725.2
191243.4
945617.2
36%Model gave it64%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions718805010015062110

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+27
Teleop+40
Endgame+42
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +27
0Leave3
1Coral scored#5
3Coral points27
3Total auto30
TeleoperatedBlue +13
9Coral scored#11
33Coral points40
1Processor algae#2
2Net algae#2
6Processor points12
8Net points8
14Algae points20
47Total teleop60
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#6
3L2#4
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +2
12Cage & park14
12Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points6
62Total score110

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2183
#15
27.70.2
29.229.0
Auto3.9
Teleop19.8
End4.0
blue by 15.7
1912
#12
43.41.7
42.744.4
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End1.9
Second
25.20.2
26.726.5
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End2.9
red by 0.1
25.21.7
21.823.5
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End5.0
Third
9991
#21
6.80.4
9.49.0
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 10.4
9456
#17
17.21.7
13.615.3
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
20%Auto oddsMissed24%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
55%Barge oddsMissed32%Barge oddsEarned