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Red93
999812.2
880847.5
375321.6
Blue69
832424.4
597115.5
433631.7
62%Model gave it38%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions83752040601001201409369

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+11Auto
+24Teleop
+24Endgame
+24Fouls
AutonomousRed +11
0Leave0
4Coral scored#2
20Coral points9
20Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +13
13Coral scored#9
45Coral points34
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#4
12Processor points6
12Net points16
24Algae points22
69Total teleop56
Reef
6L4#5
4L3#3
4L2#2
3L1 · trough#1
22Game pieces#16
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +24
0Foul points0
93Total score69

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.5
45.345.8
Auto9.4
Teleop34.6
End3.5
red by 15.8
4336
#11
31.70.7
31.030.3
Auto5.3
Teleop25.5
End1.0
Second
3753
#14
21.60.5
19.720.2
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End0.5
blue by 2.8
8324
#22
24.40.7
26.125.4
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Third
9998
#16
12.20.9
11.312.2
Auto1.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
blue by 3.3
5971
#18
15.50.7
14.513.8
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
64%Auto oddsEarned33%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
21%Barge oddsMissed9%Barge oddsMissed