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Red34
299248.1
804486.9
96995.7
Blue0
999610.0
999510.0
99916.8
99%Model gave it1%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions178430100150200250340

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+9Auto
+14Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +9
9Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
9Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +5
1Coral scored#0
5Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#0
BargeRed +20
20Cage & park0
20Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
34Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.92.4
86.684.3
Auto17.4
Teleop58.5
End10.9
red by 76.9
9995
Unranked
10.01.3
12.411.1
Auto2.0
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Second
48.12.4
47.945.6
Auto10.9
Teleop34.4
End2.9
red by 38.1
9996
Unranked
10.01.3
12.411.1
Auto2.0
Teleop6.6
End0.8
Third
9699
#19
5.73.7
5.41.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
blue by 1.1
9991
#21
6.81.2
9.07.8
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End2.1