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Red150
915322.7
804486.9
433631.7
Blue64
299248.1
99916.8
96995.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1678805010015020025015064

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+27Auto
+82Teleop
+92Endgame
+86Fouls
AutonomousRed +27
9Leave3
4Coral scored#0
21Coral points0
30Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +55
20Coral scored#8
72Coral points27
3Processor algae#2
4Net algae#3
18Processor points12
16Net points12
34Algae points24
106Total teleop51
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#3
6L2#1
4L1 · trough#1
31Game pieces#13
BargeRed +10
14Cage & park4
14Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +86
0Foul points6
150Total score64

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.90.6
86.085.5
Auto17.4
Teleop58.5
End10.9
red by 38.7
48.13.1
57.053.9
Auto10.9
Teleop34.4
End2.9
Second
4336
#11
31.70.6
27.927.3
Auto5.3
Teleop25.5
End1.0
red by 24.9
9991
#21
6.85.1
13.18.0
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Third
9153
#10
22.70.6
24.223.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.9
End1.2
red by 17.0
9699
#19
5.75.1
14.89.7
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
90%Auto oddsEarned55%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
83%Coral oddsMissed9%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
60%Barge oddsEarned39%Barge oddsMissed