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Red32
597115.5
978725.2
999016.4
Blue94
410725.1
408743.6
346825.2
9%Model gave it91%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions4410901001502003294

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+9
Teleop+62
Endgame+62
Fouls+62
AutonomousBlue +9
6Leave6
0Coral scored#2
0Coral points9
6Total auto15
TeleoperatedBlue +53
2Coral scored#13
6Coral points45
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#3
0Processor points6
4Net points12
4Algae points18
10Total teleop63
Reef
1L4#6
0L3#3
1L2#3
0L1 · trough#3
3Game pieces#19
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +62
0Foul points0
32Total score94

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
25.21.0
21.520.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End5.0
blue by 18.4
43.60.0
38.938.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.0
End9.3
Second
9990
#13
16.41.7
11.59.7
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
blue by 8.8
25.20.0
32.932.9
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Third
5971
#18
15.51.3
14.813.5
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 9.6
25.10.0
22.522.4
Auto3.3
Teleop19.5
End2.3
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
35%Auto oddsMissed70%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned47%Barge oddsEarned