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Red64
375321.6
999428.9
832424.4
Blue85
597115.5
99916.8
191243.4
60%Model gave it40%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions85827080901006485

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
Teleop+19
Endgame+21
Fouls+21
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
3Coral scored#4
17Coral points20
23Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +22
8Coral scored#9
27Coral points33
0Processor algae#2
3Net algae#4
0Processor points12
12Net points16
12Algae points28
39Total teleop61
Reef
5L4#3
3L3#4
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#3
14Game pieces#19
BargeBlue +2
2Cage & park4
2Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +21
0Foul points0
64Total score85

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
28.90.7
19.118.5
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
blue by 14.6
1912
#12
43.40.9
45.046.0
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End1.9
Second
8324
#22
24.40.4
28.528.1
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
red by 8.9
5971
#18Sur
15.51.1
13.514.6
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
Third
3753
#14Sur
21.60.4
22.221.8
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End0.5
red by 14.8
9991
#21
6.81.6
12.313.8
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
63%Auto oddsEarned30%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
32%Barge oddsMissed17%Barge oddsMissed