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Red117
299248.1
999016.4
880847.5
Blue63
218327.7
96995.7
36423.9
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions1336105010015020011763

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+40Teleop
+48Endgame
+54Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave0
4Coral scored#3
20Coral points16
23Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +33
11Coral scored#10
38Coral points35
3Processor algae#0
5Net algae#2
18Processor points0
20Net points8
38Algae points8
76Total teleop43
Reef
3L4#3
5L3#5
4L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
23Game pieces#15
BargeRed +8
12Cage & park4
12Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +54
6Foul points0
117Total score63

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
48.10.2
51.551.3
Auto10.9
Teleop34.4
End2.9
red by 20.5
2183
#15
27.70.2
28.528.3
Auto3.9
Teleop19.8
End4.0
Second
47.50.2
46.246.1
Auto9.4
Teleop34.6
End3.5
red by 23.6
364
#4
23.90.2
22.422.2
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End5.3
Third
9990
#13
16.40.3
9.79.5
Auto4.1
Teleop9.8
End2.2
red by 10.7
9699
#19
5.70.3
9.79.4
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
87%Auto oddsEarned53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
12%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
61%Barge oddsMissed67%Barge oddsMissed