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Red47
999214.8
915322.7
832424.4
Blue89
999812.2
99916.8
999428.9
80%Model gave it20%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions89490204060801001201401604789

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+18
Endgame+30
Fouls+42
AutonomousBlue +3
3Leave3
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points10
10Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +15
8Coral scored#8
29Coral points28
0Processor algae#2
1Net algae#2
0Processor points12
4Net points8
4Algae points20
33Total teleop48
Reef
3L4#4
3L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
10Game pieces#14
BargeBlue +12
4Cage & park16
4Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +42
0Foul points12
47Total score89

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8324
#22
24.41.6
30.128.5
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
blue by 4.4
28.94.3
14.819.1
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
Second
9153
#10
22.71.6
23.622.0
Auto6.6
Teleop14.9
End1.2
red by 10.5
9998
#16
12.24.3
9.513.8
Auto1.9
Teleop9.0
End1.1
Third
9992
#20
14.82.7
14.311.7
Auto1.5
Teleop12.6
End0.4
red by 8.0
9991
#21
6.84.3
8.012.3
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
85%Auto oddsMissed46%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed3%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
14%Barge oddsMissed55%Barge oddsEarned