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Red0
999610.0
999510.0
99916.8
Blue8
36423.9
832424.4
191243.4
5%Model gave it95%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions42109010015008

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+8
Endgame+8
Fouls+8
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave3
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto3
TeleoperatedBlue +5
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points5
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
0Total teleop5
Reef
0L4#1
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
0Game pieces#1
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalBlue +8
0Foul points0
0Total score8

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
9995
Unranked
10.01.1
11.110.0
Auto2.0
Teleop6.6
End0.8
blue by 33.4
1912
#12
43.41.9
44.242.3
Auto10.4
Teleop31.0
End1.9
Second
9996
Unranked
10.01.1
11.110.0
Auto2.0
Teleop6.6
End0.8
blue by 14.4
8324
#22
24.41.9
25.223.3
Auto4.7
Teleop18.7
End1.2
Third
9991
#21
6.81.0
7.86.8
Auto0.4
Teleop4.1
End2.1
blue by 17.1
364
#4
23.91.9
24.722.8
Auto6.5
Teleop12.1
End5.3