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Red122
597115.5
978725.2
880847.5
Blue67
915322.7
346825.2
218327.7
54%Model gave it46%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions969005015020012267

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+49Teleop
+61Endgame
+55Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
3Leave6
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points10
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +56
19Coral scored#8
67Coral points27
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
18Processor points6
12Net points8
30Algae points14
97Total teleop41
Reef
8L4#3
6L3#2
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#2
26Game pieces#13
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +55
0Foul points6
122Total score67

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
47.50.9
45.846.7
Auto9.4
Teleop34.6
End3.5
red by 19.8
2183
#15
27.70.4
29.028.5
Auto3.9
Teleop19.8
End4.0
Second
25.20.9
23.524.4
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End5.0
blue by 0.1
25.20.4
26.526.1
Auto4.6
Teleop17.8
End2.9
Third
5971
#18
15.50.9
13.814.7
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0
blue by 7.2
9153
#10
22.70.4
24.023.6
Auto6.6
Teleop14.9
End1.2