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Red5
999428.9
408743.6
945617.2
Blue0
99979.8
99939.8
99999.8
96%Model gave it4%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions881202040608010012014016050

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+5Teleop
+5Endgame
+5Fouls
Autonomouslevel
0Leave0
0Coral scored#0
0Coral points0
0Total auto0
TeleoperatedRed +5
1Coral scored#0
5Coral points0
0Processor algae#0
0Net algae#0
0Processor points0
0Net points0
0Algae points0
5Total teleop0
Reef
1L4#0
0L3#0
0L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
1Game pieces#0
Bargelevel
0Cage & park0
0Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +5
0Foul points0
5Total score0

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.7
41.740.0
Auto8.3
Teleop26.0
End9.3
red by 33.8
9993
Unranked
9.81.4
12.411.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Second
28.92.7
25.923.3
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
red by 19.1
9997
Unranked
9.81.4
12.411.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End0.9
Third
9456
#17
17.21.7
15.313.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 7.4
9999
Unranked
9.81.4
12.411.0
Auto1.9
Teleop6.4
End0.9