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Red154
299248.1
96995.7
804486.9
Blue120
375321.6
410725.1
433631.7
92%Model gave it8%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions16270050100200250300154120

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+15Auto
+22Teleop
+34Endgame
+34Fouls
AutonomousRed +15
9Leave6
5Coral scored#3
25Coral points13
34Total auto19
TeleoperatedRed +7
22Coral scored#19
80Coral points67
2Processor algae#3
4Net algae#4
12Processor points18
16Net points16
28Algae points34
108Total teleop101
Reef
8L4#6
7L3#7
7L2#6
5L1 · trough#3
33Game pieces#29
BargeRed +12
12Cage & park0
12Total endgame0
Penalties & totalRed +34
0Foul points0
154Total score120

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
86.90.5
84.384.8
Auto17.4
Teleop58.5
End10.9
red by 55.2
4336
#11
31.71.0
31.332.2
Auto5.3
Teleop25.5
End1.0
Second
48.10.5
45.646.1
Auto10.9
Teleop34.4
End2.9
red by 23.1
25.11.0
24.625.6
Auto3.3
Teleop19.5
End2.3
Third
9699
#19
5.70.8
1.72.5
Auto2.0
Teleop2.7
End1.0
blue by 15.9
3753
#14
21.61.0
21.122.1
Auto6.2
Teleop15.0
End0.5