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Red121
999428.9
945617.2
408743.6
Blue107
597115.5
978725.2
880847.5
28%Model gave it72%

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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions71102050150200121107

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+16Auto
+2Teleop
+14Endgame
+14Fouls
AutonomousRed +16
6Leave9
5Coral scored#1
26Coral points7
32Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +14
15Coral scored#17
55Coral points61
1Processor algae#3
3Net algae#2
6Processor points18
12Net points8
18Algae points26
73Total teleop87
Reef
7L4#6
8L3#6
3L2#4
2L1 · trough#2
24Game pieces#23
BargeRed +12
16Cage & park4
16Total endgame4
Penalties & totalRed +14
0Foul points0
121Total score107

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
43.61.0
40.040.9
Auto8.3
Teleop26.0
End9.3
blue by 3.9
47.50.5
46.747.2
Auto9.4
Teleop34.6
End3.5
Second
28.91.5
23.324.8
Auto8.1
Teleop19.0
End1.5
red by 3.7
25.20.5
24.424.8
Auto3.9
Teleop16.3
End5.0
Third
9456
#17
17.21.0
13.614.6
Auto4.5
Teleop12.3
End0.5
red by 1.7
5971
#18
15.50.5
14.715.1
Auto2.5
Teleop11.0
End2.0