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Red56
636721.3
556321.0
1025420.9
Blue45
673124.7
905613.8
534729.6
52%Model gave it48%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6665304050607080901005645

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+3
Endgame+1
+11Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +4
8Coral scored#5
28Coral points18
0Processor algae#1
1Net algae#1
0Processor points6
4Net points4
4Algae points10
32Total teleop28
Reef
4L4#2
2L3#1
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
10Game pieces#8
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +11
12Foul points0
56Total score45

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6367
#30
21.32.5
21.719.2
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End0.1
blue by 8.3
5347
#10
29.62.1
19.417.3
Auto5.7
Teleop22.8
End1.1
Second
5563
#23
21.02.5
17.715.1
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
blue by 3.7
6731
#11
24.72.1
25.923.8
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
Third
20.92.5
18.415.9
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2
red by 7.1
9056
#34
13.81.2
12.211.0
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
28%Auto oddsMissed35%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed36%Barge oddsMissed