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Red75
545928.4
581350.3
476111.5
Blue109
320512.6
40347.1
12564.5
12%Model gave it88%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions5095015075109

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+18
Teleop+22
Endgame+34
Fouls+34
AutonomousBlue +18
6Leave9
1Coral scored#4
3Coral points18
9Total auto27
TeleoperatedBlue +4
9Coral scored#9
32Coral points34
2Processor algae#3
5Net algae#4
12Processor points18
20Net points16
32Algae points34
64Total teleop68
Reef
4L4#4
3L3#5
2L2#3
1L1 · trough#1
17Game pieces#20
BargeBlue +12
2Cage & park14
2Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +34
0Foul points0
75Total score109

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.33.0
24.927.9
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
blue by 14.2
125
#1
64.53.4
46.850.1
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
Second
28.43.0
14.117.1
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End-0.9
red by 15.8
3205
#12
12.63.4
20.223.5
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
Third
4761
#36
11.53.0
9.112.1
Auto1.8
Teleop10.1
End-0.4
red by 4.4
4034
#29
7.13.4
11.915.3
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
29%Auto oddsMissed53%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
22%Barge oddsMissed54%Barge oddsEarned