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Red116
242333.8
287627.3
431128.1
Blue40
17526.6
573521.6
39580.3
71%Model gave it29%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions957920406012014016011640

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+38Teleop
+60Endgame
+76Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
9Leave0
1Coral scored#2
7Coral points9
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +31
13Coral scored#5
46Coral points19
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#0
6Processor points6
4Net points0
10Algae points6
56Total teleop25
Reef
5L4#2
5L3#2
2L2#2
2L1 · trough#1
16Game pieces#8
BargeRed +22
26Cage & park4
26Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +76
18Foul points2
116Total score40

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
33.80.1
26.026.1
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End5.8
red by 7.3
175
#19
26.65.1
26.321.2
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
Second
28.10.1
28.028.1
Auto4.8
Teleop13.6
End9.8
red by 6.6
5735
#35
21.65.1
24.919.8
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
Third
2876
#15
27.30.1
27.727.9
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.2
red by 27.0
3958
#38
0.35.1
20.915.7
Auto0.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsEarned38%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
8%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
48%Barge oddsEarned41%Barge oddsMissed