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Red51
34820.1
1039314.6
50920.2
Blue116
972924.1
7844.3
208420.1
15%Model gave it85%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions45750206010012051116

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+3
Teleop+63
Endgame+65
Fouls+65
AutonomousBlue +3
0Leave0
1Coral scored#2
6Coral points9
6Total auto9
TeleoperatedBlue +60
9Coral scored#22
31Coral points79
1Processor algae#1
1Net algae#4
6Processor points6
4Net points16
10Algae points22
41Total teleop101
Reef
3L4#8
4L3#9
1L2#3
2L1 · trough#4
12Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +2
4Cage & park6
4Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +65
0Foul points0
51Total score116

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
509
#31
20.20.3
9.89.5
Auto2.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
blue by 24.1
78
#14
44.34.6
36.841.4
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
348
#37
20.10.3
14.013.7
Auto2.6
Teleop16.4
End1.1
blue by 4.0
24.12.8
12.615.4
Auto1.9
Teleop19.2
End2.9
Third
14.60.3
18.718.4
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.1
blue by 5.5
2084
#32
20.14.6
13.918.5
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
25%Auto oddsMissed32%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsEarned
Barge
29%Barge oddsMissed24%Barge oddsMissed