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Red33
511222.1
24622.4
320512.6
Blue84
332320.0
905613.8
620142.6
55%Model gave it45%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions70640501001503384

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
Teleop+41
Endgame+51
Fouls+51
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave6
1Coral scored#1
6Coral points7
6Total auto13
TeleoperatedBlue +34
4Coral scored#10
15Coral points35
1Processor algae#2
0Net algae#2
6Processor points12
0Net points8
6Algae points20
21Total teleop55
Reef
2L4#4
1L3#3
1L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
6Game pieces#15
BargeBlue +10
6Cage & park16
6Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +51
0Foul points0
33Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
246
#17
22.43.9
16.612.7
Auto3.6
Teleop16.5
End2.4
blue by 20.2
42.61.4
32.533.9
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
Second
5112
#16
22.13.9
24.921.0
Auto5.1
Teleop15.3
End1.7
red by 2.1
3323
#28
20.02.3
16.919.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End2.6
Third
3205
#12
12.63.9
23.519.6
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
blue by 1.2
9056
#34
13.81.4
11.012.4
Auto4.9
Teleop6.7
End2.1
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
56%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
47%Barge oddsMissed51%Barge oddsEarned