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Red66
573521.6
1006319.9
581350.3
Blue46
271336.4
39580.3
673124.7
53%Model gave it47%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions787740601001206646

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, centred to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+16Teleop
+16Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
6Leave3
1Coral scored#3
3Coral points13
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +23
8Coral scored#6
27Coral points20
2Processor algae#0
2Net algae#1
12Processor points0
8Net points4
20Algae points4
47Total teleop24
Reef
4L4#4
2L3#2
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#1
13Game pieces#10
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
6Foul points2
66Total score46

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
50.30.7
27.927.2
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
red by 13.9
36.42.7
28.826.1
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
Second
5735
#35
21.60.7
19.819.0
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
blue by 3.1
6731
#11
24.72.7
23.821.1
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
Third
19.90.7
18.918.2
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
red by 19.5
3958
#38
0.32.7
15.713.0
Auto0.7
Teleop-1.3
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsMissed51%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
50%Barge oddsMissed31%Barge oddsMissed