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Red100
620142.6
972924.1
40347.1
Blue84
271336.4
332320.0
1006319.9
46%Model gave it54%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6569020408010012014016010084

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+7Auto
+22Teleop
+22Endgame
+16Fouls
AutonomousRed +7
3Leave3
3Coral scored#1
13Coral points6
16Total auto9
TeleoperatedRed +15
12Coral scored#9
42Coral points33
1Processor algae#2
5Net algae#2
6Processor points12
20Net points8
26Algae points20
68Total teleop53
Reef
6L4#4
3L3#2
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
21Game pieces#14
Bargelevel
16Cage & park16
16Total endgame16
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +16
0Foul points6
100Total score84

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
42.61.8
31.633.4
Auto6.5
Teleop28.0
End8.2
red by 6.3
36.40.2
26.126.3
Auto5.6
Teleop23.5
End7.3
Second
24.11.8
13.915.7
Auto1.9
Teleop19.2
End2.9
red by 4.1
3323
#28
20.00.2
18.518.7
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End2.6
Third
4034
#29
7.13.0
13.816.8
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.6
blue by 12.7
19.90.2
17.217.4
Auto4.4
Teleop12.9
End2.5
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned20%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
5%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
53%Barge oddsEarned28%Barge oddsEarned