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Qual 272025 NE District Greater Boston Event
Red84
1015615.0
242333.8
573521.6
Blue132
1025420.9
208420.1
581350.3
27%Model gave it73%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions6475408010012084132

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+40
Endgame+48
Fouls+48
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
2Coral scored#4
10Coral points20
16Total auto20
TeleoperatedBlue +36
13Coral scored#19
46Coral points70
0Processor algae#2
4Net algae#4
0Processor points12
16Net points16
16Algae points28
62Total teleop98
Reef
5L4#6
4L3#10
3L2#3
3L1 · trough#4
19Game pieces#29
BargeBlue +8
6Cage & park14
6Total endgame14
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +48
0Foul points0
84Total score132

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
2423
#6
33.81.6
26.4→27.9
Auto9.7
Teleop18.4
End5.8
blue by 16.4
5813
#3
50.35.3
32.0→37.3
Auto11.3
Teleop31.4
End7.5
Second
5735
#35
21.61.6
15.1→16.7
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
red by 0.6
10254
#22
20.95.6
16.6→22.3
Auto4.4
Teleop13.3
End3.2
Third
10156
#26
15.00.9
15.5→16.4
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 5.1
2084
#32
20.15.3
17.7→22.9
Auto3.3
Teleop16.6
End0.2
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
55%Auto oddsEarned25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed8%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
28%Barge oddsMissed20%Barge oddsEarned