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Red87
404833.6
636721.3
287627.3
Blue59
1039314.6
17617.6
7844.3
78%Model gave it22%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8766204060801001201408759

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
+3Auto
+32Teleop
+28Endgame
+28Fouls
AutonomousRed +3
6Leave0
2Coral scored#3
10Coral points13
16Total auto13
TeleoperatedRed +29
11Coral scored#9
39Coral points34
3Processor algae#1
3Net algae#0
18Processor points6
12Net points0
30Algae points6
69Total teleop40
Reef
5L4#6
5L3#3
2L2#1
1L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#13
BargeBlue +4
2Cage & park6
2Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +28
0Foul points0
87Total score59

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
4048
#21
33.61.1
30.031.0
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
blue by 10.7
78
#14
44.30.4
40.640.2
Auto8.1
Teleop27.7
End8.5
Second
2876
#15
27.31.1
26.928.0
Auto4.4
Teleop21.7
End1.2
red by 12.7
14.60.4
16.516.1
Auto4.8
Teleop7.7
End2.1
Third
6367
#30
21.31.1
20.421.4
Auto4.3
Teleop16.9
End0.1
red by 13.6
1761
#27
7.60.2
5.55.2
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
50%Auto oddsEarned50%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
4%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
39%Barge oddsMissed11%Barge oddsMissed