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Red90
556321.0
673124.7
12564.5
Blue70
862623.6
511222.1
545928.4
95%Model gave it5%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions99592040801201409070

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+7
+6Teleop
+20Endgame
+20Fouls
AutonomousBlue +7
0Leave9
2Coral scored#1
9Coral points7
9Total auto16
TeleoperatedRed +13
12Coral scored#11
43Coral points40
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#2
12Processor points6
12Net points8
24Algae points14
67Total teleop54
Reef
5L4#4
3L3#4
3L2#2
3L1 · trough#2
19Game pieces#15
BargeRed +14
14Cage & park0
14Total endgame0
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +20
0Foul points0
90Total score70

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
125
#1
64.50.5
51.151.6
Auto18.7
Teleop36.8
End9.0
red by 36.1
28.41.3
20.922.2
Auto7.0
Teleop22.3
End-0.9
Second
6731
#11
24.70.5
22.122.6
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
red by 1.1
8626
#24
23.61.4
16.718.0
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
Third
5563
#23
21.00.5
12.312.8
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
blue by 1.1
5112
#16
22.11.4
20.021.4
Auto5.1
Teleop15.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
80%Auto oddsMissed40%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
7%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
42%Barge oddsEarned12%Barge oddsMissed