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Red67
972924.1
1015615.0
673124.7
Blue92
511222.1
404833.6
872422.9
22%Model gave it78%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions478101001506792

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
Auto+4
Teleop+7
Endgame+7
Fouls+25
AutonomousBlue +4
6Leave0
1Coral scored#3
6Coral points16
12Total auto16
TeleoperatedBlue +3
7Coral scored#12
25Coral points42
2Processor algae#1
3Net algae#1
12Processor points6
12Net points4
24Algae points10
49Total teleop52
Reef
2L4#6
3L3#5
2L2#2
1L1 · trough#2
13Game pieces#17
Bargelevel
6Cage & park6
6Total endgame6
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +25
0Foul points18
67Total score92

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
6731
#11
24.71.6
24.325.9
Auto5.6
Teleop16.1
End3.1
blue by 8.9
4048
#21
33.60.0
30.030.0
Auto5.9
Teleop25.9
End1.8
Second
24.11.0
10.611.6
Auto1.9
Teleop19.2
End2.9
red by 1.2
8724
#20
22.90.0
16.016.0
Auto4.6
Teleop16.3
End1.9
Third
15.01.0
11.512.5
Auto5.1
Teleop8.3
End1.6
blue by 7.1
5112
#16
22.10.0
22.722.7
Auto5.1
Teleop15.3
End1.7
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
27%Auto oddsEarned41%Auto oddsEarned
Coral
3%Coral oddsMissed5%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
15%Barge oddsMissed40%Barge oddsMissed