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Red27
40347.1
573521.6
862623.6
Blue13
6925.8
50920.2
17617.6
86%Model gave it14%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions8238020601001201401602713

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
+10Teleop
+10Endgame
+14Fouls
Autonomouslevel
3Leave0
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
3Total auto3
TeleoperatedRed +10
3Coral scored#1
10Coral points4
0Processor algae#0
1Net algae#0
0Processor points0
4Net points0
4Algae points0
14Total teleop4
Reef
1L4#1
1L3#1
1L2#0
0L1 · trough#0
4Game pieces#2
Bargelevel
4Cage & park4
4Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalRed +14
6Foul points2
27Total score13

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
8626
#24
23.65.3
21.215.9
Auto3.8
Teleop16.7
End3.1
blue by 2.3
69
#25
25.83.1
23.720.5
Auto4.3
Teleop19.8
End1.8
Second
5735
#35
21.65.3
30.224.9
Auto2.7
Teleop18.0
End0.9
red by 1.4
509
#31
20.23.1
10.87.7
Auto2.5
Teleop15.7
End2.1
Third
4034
#29
7.15.3
17.211.9
Auto2.6
Teleop2.9
End1.6
blue by 0.5
1761
#27
7.61.9
4.72.9
Auto2.7
Teleop4.0
End0.8
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
47%Auto oddsMissed25%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed4%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
37%Barge oddsEarned19%Barge oddsMissed