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Red18
34820.1
332320.0
320512.6
Blue71
556321.0
15125.5
17526.6
45%Model gave it55%
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Expected scoresforecast vs result
Expected score distributions78792040506070901001871

Skew-normal from the model's own per-alliance spread, scaled to match the published odds

Score breakdownReefscape
Margin
0Auto0
Teleop+41
Endgame+39
Fouls+53
Autonomouslevel
6Leave3
0Coral scored#1
0Coral points3
6Total auto6
TeleoperatedBlue +41
2Coral scored#9
6Coral points33
0Processor algae#1
0Net algae#2
0Processor points6
0Net points8
0Algae points14
6Total teleop47
Reef
0L4#4
1L3#2
1L2#2
0L1 · trough#2
2Game pieces#13
BargeRed +2
6Cage & park4
6Total endgame4
Ranking points
Auto
Coral
Barge
Penalties & totalBlue +53
0Foul points14
18Total score71

Dotted labels are illustrative: we store each alliance's auto, teleop, endgame and foul points, not the game-piece detail behind them, so the itemised rows are a plausible spread that adds back up to the totals we do have. Field names match what the engine already parses.

Robotsace against ace · open a pair for detail
Ace
348
#37
20.15.6
19.614.0
Auto2.6
Teleop16.4
End1.1
blue by 6.5
175
#19
26.61.4
27.726.3
Auto4.3
Teleop19.3
End3.0
Second
3323
#28
20.05.6
22.917.3
Auto4.1
Teleop13.3
End2.6
blue by 5.5
151
#13
25.51.4
22.721.3
Auto6.4
Teleop18.3
End0.9
Third
3205
#12
12.65.6
25.820.2
Auto3.3
Teleop6.5
End2.8
blue by 8.4
5563
#23
21.01.4
19.017.7
Auto1.6
Teleop16.8
End2.6
Ranking point oddsdots past the line are the odds
Auto
46%Auto oddsMissed47%Auto oddsMissed
Coral
6%Coral oddsMissed6%Coral oddsMissed
Barge
36%Barge oddsMissed37%Barge oddsMissed